Feb 25, 2021
By Christine Ross
The latest provincial projections suggest 40 percent of cases will be COVID variants of concern in Ontario by mid-March and hospitalizations and ICU admissions will likely increase in the coming weeks. But it’s not all bad news according to the health experts advising the government.
“A better summer is in sight, if we work for it now,” said Dr. Adalsteinn Brown who co-chairs the advisory table.
The modelling suggests a third wave is still possible and the drop in cases has bottomed out but are moving up again. Dr. Brown adds the province can keep gains made by watching spread very closely and by loosening public health measures only carefully. In a worst-case scenario, the province could see around 4,000 new cases per-day by the end of March and best case around 1,000 daily.
But Dr. Brown points to positive trends in long term care.
“We have seen a substantial reduction in the daily death rates in long term care homes and a substantial reduction in the cases both among residents and staff.”
Currently there are 42 homes in outbreak with resident cases.
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