ONTARIO TO CLOSE MORE BUSINESSES, PROJECTIONS PANDEMIC COULD LAST UP TO 2-YRS

Apr 03, 2020

By Bob Komsic

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Canada’s top public health official urges us to be cautious when looking at provincial projections for COVID-19 as Ontario has done.
It’s the first province to do so and Dr. Theresa Tam says to remember they are just that, projections, NOT real data.
She says both projections and data have to be examined to get an accurate picture.
That’s key to remember as forecasts are only as good as the assumptions they’re based on and should not be taken as the gospel truth.
There’s also the problem Ontario has the lowest rate of per-capita testing in the country and testing is important in helping government prepare and Canadians to comply.
With that in mind, experts are saying if Ontario had not taken any measures there may have been as many as 100,000 deaths over an estimated two-year lifespan of the virus.
But if the province keeps taking strict measures, they predict the number of deaths could be reduced to between 3,000 and 15,000.
So far 4,400 deaths have been prevented.
Premier Doug Ford says the figures show physical distancing saves lives and that the government’s prepared to do whatever it takes to protect Ontarians.
He also announced new closures will take effect Saturday April 4 at 11:59p.m.

 

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