Oct 02, 2019

By Jane Brown

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As four of the federal party leaders prepare for Wednesday’s french-language debate in Montreal, two new polls suggest there is very little movement in the numbers over the first half of the campaign.

An online Leger poll finds the Justin Trudeau Liberals and Andrew Scheer Conservatives still locked in a tie, each with 34 percent support. The Jagmeet Singh New Democrats and Elizabeth May Greens remain well back with 14 and 11 percent support respectively.

The overnight Nanos tracking poll also has the Liberals and Conservatives each at 34 percent, the NDP at 15 percent and 10 percent of voters support the Greens.

Then there’s the undecided vote at between 11 and 13 percent depending on the survey.

The latest Zoomer Primary also has the Liberals and Conservatives in a statistical tie for the lead.

But Conservative strategist John Capobianco told Zoomer Radio’s Fight Back with Libby Znaimer, there are two milestones to go, which will likely mean a change in the numbers.

“One is the debates are going to happen in the next week or two, and the other one is Thanksgiving weekend, when long weekends and campaigns are actually quite pivotal in some cases, because people and families get together and talk and argue about the issues,” Capobianco explained, “We’ve seen a lot of cases where after a long weekend, people start to formulate their opinions and start to make decisions and it affects the polling down the road.”

Listen for Libby’s full conversation with the Tuesday Strategy Panel by clicking here.

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