May 30, 2014

By Scott Walker

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With less than two weeks to go before the provincial election, another poll is showing the Conservatives and Liberals almost neck-and-neck.

But there are numbers behind the numbers that could tip the balance.

Ipsos-Reid says Tim Hudak’s Conservatives are slightly ahead with 36 per cent support. Kathleen Wynne and the Liberals are right behind at 34 per cent. Given the margin of error, that’s essentially a tie.

Andrea Horwath’s NDP is trailing at 23 per cent.

But the PCs are way ahead when it comes to committed voters, those who always show up at the polls. Forty-one per cent of Conservative supporters say they will definitely cast a ballot on June 12th. Liberal supporters are less committed at 29 per cent. And the New Democrats are back at 25.

That’s why all parties put such importance in “get out the vote” campaigns on election day.

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